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Futures Market Monitor July 17, 2009

Thomas Ho at 7/20/2009 1:26:24 PM | 285 Views | 0 Comments Go to Message Board

Abstract: Viewing the Market using Analytics
July 17, 2009. Monitoring the cheap/rich values in a volatile market. The continuing rise of rates leads to a higher delivery option in the 10 year contract

Yield Curve Movements  Basis point cumulative shifts of the implied spot yield curve during the day 8:00am-5:00pm . The curve shifted up toward the end of the day particularly at the long end

 

 

Net Basis Movements the time trends of the futures prices and the cheapest to deliver (CTD) forward price. The net basis widened through the day

 

Decomposition of the Net Basis Both the cheap/rich and the option values increased. The net basis appeared small because the delivery option value is mitigated by the cheap/rich value through the day

 

Cheap/Rich Trends of the September Contracts Both the 10 and 30 year ch/rh were volatile. The 10 year has become the richest contract, though it was fairly priced earlier in the week

 

Notes:

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